Crude sets direction, not the whole price
Costlier crude raises the base cost, but products can move differently because of refining margins. A refinery outage or product shortage can lift fuel prices even when crude is stable.
Petrol and diesel are refined products, not crude oil. Their prices combine feedstock, refinery operations, inventories, seasonal demand, delivery, taxes and retail-market rules.
Costlier crude raises the base cost, but products can move differently because of refining margins. A refinery outage or product shortage can lift fuel prices even when crude is stable.
Stocks cushion short shortages. Refinery maintenance, summer driving, heating demand or supply disruption can shrink that buffer and amplify wholesale moves.
Storage, transport, wholesale and retail margins, taxes and quality standards enter after refining. The same crude quote therefore does not produce the same retail price everywhere.
Separate a world crude quote, wholesale product price, regulated retail tariff and SOCAR export price. They are different market layers and need not move together.
Inventories may have been bought earlier, while refining, logistics, taxes and regulation adjust on different timelines.
In simple terms, it is the value of the product slate minus the crude input before all refinery expenses.
Inventories, refinery utilisation, product wholesale quotes, imports and exports, tariff decisions and their effective dates.
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