Azerbaijan produced AZN 51.2 billion of industrial output in January-September 2026, a real decline of 0.8%. Manufacturing, however, expanded 3.4% to AZN 16.98 billion. The State Statistics Committee’s report shows why the overall contraction cannot describe every industrial activity.

The fastest-growing activities

Production of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers rose 76.8%, pharmaceuticals 60.4% and textiles 47.6%. These are the fastest rates among the activities listed in the release. Growth rates measure changes from the previous year, not industry size: a small activity can grow rapidly while contributing less additional output than a larger one.

ActivityOutput change
Total industry−0.8%
Manufacturing+3.4%
Vehicles and trailers+76.8%
Pharmaceuticals+60.4%
Textiles+47.6%
Food products+6.4%

Expansion extends beyond three sectors

Tobacco manufacturing increased 16%, paper and cardboard 14.5%, and rubber and plastic products 8.5%. Electrical equipment rose 8%, building materials 7.1%, food products 6.4% and metallurgy 6.1%. Manufacturing growth is therefore not confined to the three most striking percentages.

Why the overall figure can still fall

Manufacturing is one component of industry. It can expand while total industrial output contracts if other large segments perform more weakly. Real production indices, rather than current-price output values alone, are the relevant measures for this comparison.

Scale and sales matter next

For businesses, making more goods matters only if those goods find buyers. Sustained expansion requires orders, components and working capital. The next analytical step is to compare output with domestic sales and exports for each product group. A high production growth rate alone does not establish that an industry has displaced imports or entered new overseas markets.