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Inflation targeting: a goal, not a price promise

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The central bank directs monetary policy towards a stated inflation objective. The target concerns price growth, not a fixed price for every purchase.

inflationcentral bankrates

Why interest rates change

Policy affects borrowing costs, saving, demand and expectations. It does not order shops to change prices directly; transmission through the economy takes time.

The target is not the observed rate

External shocks can temporarily push inflation away from its objective. The Bank of England explains its policy using a 2% target. This is a UK example, not Azerbaijan’s target.

FinFly illustration

If annual inflation falls from 6% to 3%, the overall price level still rose relative to the previous year. Slower inflation does not restore previous prices or imply identical movements for every product.

Assessing a decision

Check the stated objective, forecast horizon and regulator’s explanation of risks together. One policy decision cannot precisely predict your loan rate or when the target will be reached.

Primary sources

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